Salford City 0-2 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

Salford City
0-2 HT 0-1
Port Vale
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Salford City vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.46
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.65
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salford City v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.18/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.04
-3% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 69%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.6 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Salford City vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Port Vale
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 239
62% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.12.2022 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
05.04.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
18.01.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
02.03.2021 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
17.10.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
01.02.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 1-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2

Salford City 0-2 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
0-2
AWAY Port Vale
0.47 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
214 Passes 154
59% Pass Accuracy 52%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Vale beat Salford City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Port Vale made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Salford City had 55% of the ball to Port Vale's 45%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.47 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Salford City and 0.50 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Port Vale?

Salford City 0-2 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Salford City 38%, draw 27%, Port Vale 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Under 2.5
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