Fleetwood Town 1-0 Grimsby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.39
X/2
10%
7.44
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
5.57
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.53/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
+1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
256 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
Crosses 19.1
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Grimsby Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
29.07.2023 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town HAZ
06.03.2012 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
13.08.2011 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
19.02.2011 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
18.09.2010 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
1-0
AWAY Grimsby Town
1.09 xG 0.61
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 3
177 Passes 426
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town edged past Grimsby Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fleetwood Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 35% of the ball to Grimsby Town's 65%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.09 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.40 for Grimsby Town.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?

Fleetwood Town 1-0 Grimsby Town in the England - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Grimsby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 44%, draw 25%, Grimsby Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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