Doncaster Rovers 4-1 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
22%
3.84
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
11%
5.84
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
8%
8.35
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.65/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.76
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
29.8 Crosses 17.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
186 Passes 207
57% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
09.12.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.11.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
04.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
22.02.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
17.08.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
4-1
AWAY Accrington Stanley
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
293 Passes 173
68% Pass Accuracy 57%
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Accrington Stanley 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 59% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 41%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 0.67 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Doncaster Rovers 4-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 54%, draw 24%, Accrington Stanley 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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