Doncaster Rovers 4-0 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.01
X/2
8%
9.86
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
7.4
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.84/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.69
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +5%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 66%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
26.6 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
163 Passes 218
53% Pass Accuracy 62%
14 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-0 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
14.11.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
04.11.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-2 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley FAK
22.02.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
17.08.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
20.04.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
4-0
AWAY Accrington Stanley
2.52 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 201
72% Pass Accuracy 62%
35 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers swept aside Accrington Stanley 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 56% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 44%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.52 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.00 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Doncaster Rovers 4-0 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 47%, draw 25%, Accrington Stanley 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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