Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Wrexham
6-0 HT 4-0
Forest Green Rovers
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.8
X/1
20%
3.49
X/2
5%
15.35
X/X
7%
6.74
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
10%
12.25
2/X
10%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wrexham v Forest Green Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.62/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.48
+33% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
26.9 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 0.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
590 Passes 142
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
33 Box Touches 7
41 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İN2
18.03.2017 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
26.11.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 3-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
02.04.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
06.02.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 2-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
24.02.2015 Wrexham Wrexham 0-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
6-0
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
2.42 xG 0.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
406 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham swept aside Forest Green Rovers 6-0. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wrexham had 55% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 45%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.42 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wrexham and 1.17 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 56%, draw 24%, Forest Green Rovers 20%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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