Gillingham 3-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Gillingham
3-0 HT 1-0
Barrow
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Gillingham vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.34
X/2
9%
5.38
X/X
15%
4.02
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.93
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gillingham v Barrow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.03/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
-42% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.9 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Gillingham vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Barrow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.54 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
284 Passes 201
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.04.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
22.10.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2

Gillingham 3-0 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
3-0
AWAY Barrow
2.16 xG 1.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
432 Passes 169
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham ran out comfortable winners over Barrow 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gillingham found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Gillingham had 66% of the ball to Barrow's 34%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.16 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gillingham and 1.67 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Barrow?

Gillingham 3-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 39%, draw 29%, Barrow 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gillingham), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
13 Apr 2024
17:00 Walsall vs Notts County Analysis →
17:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Grimsby Town Analysis →
17:00 Wrexham vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Crawley Town vs Colchester Analysis →
17:00 Harrogate Town vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers Analysis →