Crawley Town 2-3 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Crawley Town
2-3 HT 1-2
Colchester
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Crawley Town vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
14%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.9
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
19%
5.0
X/2
8%
6.82
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.48
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Colchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.37/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.54
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 67%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
16.9 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Crawley Town vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Colchester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 223
66% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
18.04.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
25.10.2022 Colchester Colchester 2-2 HT 1-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
01.01.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
18.09.2021 Colchester Colchester 0-1 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
20.02.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2

Crawley Town 2-3 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-3
AWAY Colchester
1.78 xG 1.88
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 5
456 Passes 186
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester edged past Crawley Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Crawley Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 68% of the ball to Colchester's 32%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crawley Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crawley Town and 0.67 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Colchester?

Crawley Town 2-3 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 42%, draw 26%, Colchester 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crawley Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crawley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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