Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.77
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
17%
5.51
X/2
13%
5.43
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
12%
3.7
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.39/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.02
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 66%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.3 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sutton United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
282 Passes 188
66% Pass Accuracy 59%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.01.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
28.01.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
03.09.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 2-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
07.05.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
25.01.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İNTK
18.12.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
2-2
AWAY Sutton United
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
284 Passes 180
67% Pass Accuracy 57%
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Harrogate Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 56% of the ball to Sutton United's 44%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.33 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Sutton United?

Harrogate Town 2-2 Sutton United in the England - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 42%, draw 25%, Sutton United 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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