Colchester 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.41
Over 2.5
34%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
6.23
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.94
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
11%
5.63
X/X
21%
3.31
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.72
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
37%
Draw
32%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
67%
-1.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
33%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.06
+2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.2 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
1W-0D-5L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 2.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.12.2024 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İNTK
10.08.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-2 HT 3-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
29.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5-3 HT 2-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
15.08.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
29.12.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
01.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.28 xG 0.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
362 Passes 166
77% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester and AFC Wimbledon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Colchester had 63% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 37%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colchester and 2.50 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon?

Colchester 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Colchester 36%, draw 37%, AFC Wimbledon 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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