Colchester 2-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 10 Dec 2024

Colchester
2-0 HT 2-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
14%
4.26
X/2
9%
7.91
X/X
10%
5.56
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
15%
5.75
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colchester v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.61/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.70
-18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.2 Crosses 22.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
0W-0D-5L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.95 xG 2.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
257 Passes 223
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.08.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 4-2 HT 3-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
29.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 5-3 HT 2-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
15.08.2023 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
29.12.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
01.10.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2

Colchester 2-0 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
2-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.56 xG 0.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
246 Passes 324
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester beat AFC Wimbledon 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Colchester had 44% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.56 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Wimbledon led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Colchester and 3.00 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon?

Colchester 2-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - Futbol League Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colchester 43%, draw 25%, AFC Wimbledon 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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