Notts County 2-1 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
8%
5.77
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
7%
9.02
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
17.65
Value flag · 2/X at 17.65 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.95/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
+35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.8 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.11 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
549 Passes 267
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
01.01.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 4-2 HT 2-2 Notts County Notts County İN2
26.08.2023 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
23.02.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
15.12.2018 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.03.2014 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Notts County Notts County İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
2-1
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.92 xG 1.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
393 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County edged past Tranmere Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Notts County had 58% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 42%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 0.92 to 1.39 — on chances, Tranmere Rovers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Notts County and 1.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers?

Notts County 2-1 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Notts County 55%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Notts County)
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