Newport County 0-3 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

Newport County
0-3 HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.41
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
9%
6.19
X/2
10%
5.15
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.33
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport County v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport County EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.29/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 69%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.0 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newport County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
227 Passes 308
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2024 Newport County Newport County 1-2 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İNTK
10.08.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Newport County Newport County İN2
10.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Newport County Newport County İNTK
01.05.2021 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
19.01.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
08.09.2020 Newport County Newport County 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İNTK

Newport County 0-3 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newport County
0-3
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.66 xG 1.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
182 Passes 206
57% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newport County vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town cruised past Newport County 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Newport County had 50% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.66 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 1.17 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?

Newport County 0-3 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Newport County 33%, draw 29%, Cheltenham Town 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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