Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport County v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Newport County
İNTK
1-0
HT 1-0
Cheltenham Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Newport County
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İNTK
1-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN2
Newport County 1-2 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Cheltenham Town nicked a narrow win over Newport County 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Newport County had 43% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 57%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.53 to 2.14 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cheltenham Town's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newport County and 1.00 for Cheltenham Town.
What was the final score of Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?
Newport County 1-2 Cheltenham Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport County vs Cheltenham Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newport County 33%, draw 28%, Cheltenham Town 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.