Leyton Orient 1-2 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.49
No
54%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.63
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
20%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.8pp
54%
BTTS No
37%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.06/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.65
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
20.3 Crosses 8.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
1-2
AWAY Arsenal U21
2.90 xG 0.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
369 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
52 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 squeezed past Leyton Orient 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 58% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 42%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.90 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?

Leyton Orient 1-2 Arsenal U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 48%, draw 21%, Arsenal U21 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Leyton Orient), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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