Fleetwood Town 2-3 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.89/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.44
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
24.2 Crosses 10.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aston Villa U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.77 xG 0.57
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
711 Passes 249
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2020 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Aston Villa U21 Aston Villa U21 İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-3
AWAY Aston Villa U21
1.09 xG 1.65
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
201 Passes 550
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 edged past Fleetwood Town 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 32% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 68%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.09 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Aston Villa U21?

Fleetwood Town 2-3 Aston Villa U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 47%, draw 23%, Aston Villa U21 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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