Exeter City vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Exeter City v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals
Exeter City vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Exeter City
İNTK
3-1
HT 2-0
Swindon Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-0
Exeter City
İN2
3-4
HT 0-2
Exeter City
İNTK
2-1
HT 2-1
Exeter City
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Swindon Town
İN2
Exeter City 2-1 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Swindon Town 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Exeter City had 49% of the ball to Swindon Town's 51%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Exeter City and 1.33 for Swindon Town.
What was the final score of Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
Exeter City 2-1 Swindon Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 39%, draw 26%, Swindon Town 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.