Gillingham 1-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 57%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.65/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.89
+43% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
22.0 Crosses 28.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
142 Passes 301
56% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
16.02.2021 Gillingham Gillingham 1-3 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
11.01.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
19.10.2019 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
06.04.2019 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
22.09.2018 Gillingham Gillingham 2-4 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-2
AWAY Peterborough United
1.07 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
373 Passes 492
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United squeezed past Gillingham 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Peterborough United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gillingham had 45% of the ball to Peterborough United's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gillingham and 1.83 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Peterborough United?

Gillingham 1-2 Peterborough United in the England - Futbol League Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 28%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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