Kalmar 4-0 Sandvikens IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
49%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
2.75
6+ Goals
8%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.69
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
17%
3.94
X/2
7%
13.65
X/X
12%
6.62
2/1
11%
20.65
2/2
4%
11.05
2/X
7%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.72/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.05
-9% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
488 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sandvikens IF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.03.2025 Sandvikens IF Sandvikens IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Sandvikens IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar swept aside Sandvikens IF 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Sandvikens IF?

Kalmar 4-0 Sandvikens IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Sandvikens IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 60%, draw 25%, Sandvikens IF 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5
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