IK Brage 4-5 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.02
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.19
X/2
11%
6.46
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.8
2/2
18%
4.21
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -28%
1.49/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.79
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Örebro
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2025 Örebro Örebro 3-3 HT 2-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
28.07.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 2-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
15.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
30.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 0-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Brage
4-5
AWAY Örebro
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro edged past IK Brage 5-4 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IK Brage at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, IK Brage had 56% of the ball to Örebro's 44%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for IK Brage and 1.17 for Örebro.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Örebro?

IK Brage 4-5 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 41%, draw 24%, Örebro 35%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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