Örebro 3-3 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 May 2025

Örebro
3-3 HT 2-0
IK Brage
📅30/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Örebro vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.59
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.6
X/2
11%
5.98
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.98
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.46/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.14
-4% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Örebro vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-0D-5L
AWAY IK Brage
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.07.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 2-0 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
15.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
30.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 0-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.04.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 3-0 HT 3-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2

Örebro 3-3 IK Brage — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
3-3
AWAY IK Brage
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Örebro vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro and IK Brage shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Örebro had 40% of the ball to IK Brage's 60%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Örebro and 2.17 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Örebro vs IK Brage?

Örebro 3-3 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Örebro 36%, draw 27%, IK Brage 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Brage), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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