IK Brage 2-0 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Jul 2024

IK Brage
2-0 HT 0-0
Örebro
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Örebro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.3
X/2
11%
8.22
X/X
9%
4.94
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
8%
6.08
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.15
Value flag · 2/X at 14.15 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Örebro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -21%
1.68/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.76
+2% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

IK Brage vs Örebro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Örebro
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
22.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
15.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
30.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 0-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.04.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 3-0 HT 3-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
29.02.2020 Örebro Örebro 3-3 HT 1-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage beat Örebro 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for IK Brage and 1.17 for Örebro.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Örebro?

IK Brage 2-0 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 50%, draw 26%, Örebro 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5
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