GIF Sundsvall 2-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.89
X/2
8%
5.63
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
24%
3.43
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -38%
1.24/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.77
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-2 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
13.08.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
01.05.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-4 HT 3-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
29.09.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.06.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
27.09.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-1 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIF Sundsvall
2-1
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall edged past Trelleborgs FF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; GIF Sundsvall found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, GIF Sundsvall had 47% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for GIF Sundsvall and 1.50 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Trelleborgs FF?

GIF Sundsvall 2-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 37%, draw 25%, Trelleborgs FF 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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