Bergnäsets 1-2 Lucksta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.9pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucksta EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.95
-21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lucksta
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 3-2 HT 1-1 Lucksta İSÇ4
26.05.2024 Lucksta 2-4 HT 1-2 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Lucksta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucksta edged past Bergnäsets 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bergnäsets at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bergnäsets had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Bergnäsets and 2.00 for Lucksta.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Lucksta?

Bergnäsets 1-2 Lucksta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Lucksta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergnäsets win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 46%, draw 23%, Lucksta 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bergnäsets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bergnäsets) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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