Cultural Leonesa 1-3 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.76
1/2
8%
23.2
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.79
X/2
17%
4.83
X/X
11%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
22%
2.83
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.28/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.00
-75% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
236 · 57% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.7 Crosses 18.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1-3
AWAY CD Castellon
0.45 xG 2.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
361 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon got the better of Cultural Leonesa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 53% of the ball to CD Castellon's 47%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.45 to 2.99.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs CD Castellon?

Cultural Leonesa 1-3 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 31%, draw 22%, CD Castellon 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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