Leganes 0-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.45
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.22
X/X
17%
3.69
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
11%
4.79
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.14
-15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.3 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leganes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 0.96
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
220 Passes 455
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Leganes Leganes İS1
25.08.2024 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
18.02.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
09.09.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.03.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-2 HT 3-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.11.2021 Leganes Leganes 4-1 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
0-1
AWAY Las Palmas
0.76 xG 0.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas edged past Leganes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Las Palmas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Leganes had 43% of the ball to Las Palmas's 57%, shots finished 8-3, expected goals 0.76 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Las Palmas?

Leganes 0-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leganes 36%, draw 33%, Las Palmas 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leganes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leganes) ✓ Under 2.5
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