Las Palmas 0-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
30%
+9.7pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.9pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 46%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.31/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.7 Crosses 21.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leganes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
454 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Leganes Leganes 2-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
18.02.2023 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
09.09.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.03.2022 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-2 HT 3-1 Leganes Leganes İS2
28.11.2021 Leganes Leganes 4-1 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
24.01.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
0-1
AWAY Leganes
0.63 xG 1.49
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
457 Passes 157
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes squeezed past Las Palmas 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day Leganes made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 71% of the ball to Leganes's 29%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Las Palmas and 1.50 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Leganes?

Las Palmas 0-1 Leganes in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 40%, draw 21%, Leganes 39%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✗ Over 2.5
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