Valladolid 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.02
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
10%
10.35
X/2
14%
4.04
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.16
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.36 xG 1.80
47% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
262 Passes 293
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 2-3 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
04.01.2023 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İSPK
05.02.2021 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
25.10.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
04.07.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves İS1
09.11.2019 Deportivo Alaves Deportivo Alaves 3-0 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Alaves
1.64 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
246 Passes 242
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves edged past Valladolid 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Alaves as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 50% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 50%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.64 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valladolid and 1.50 for Deportivo Alaves.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Valladolid 0-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Deportivo Alaves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 26%, draw 29%, Deportivo Alaves 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Alaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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