Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
3-0
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
İS1
2-0
HT 1-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
Celta Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celta Vigo had 62% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 38%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.64 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celta Vigo.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celta Vigo and 0.33 for Rayo Vallecano.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Celta Vigo 1-2 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 45%, draw 29%, Rayo Vallecano 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.