Sevilla 0-2 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
0.96/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.52
-24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 85%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
17.0 Crosses 12.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Madrid
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.06 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
368 Passes 575
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-2 HT 3-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.02.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
21.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
27.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.10.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
17.04.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 2-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
0-2
AWAY Real Madrid
0.51 xG 2.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
281 Passes 519
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
6 Box Touches 34
4 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid got the better of Sevilla 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sevilla had 37% of the ball to Real Madrid's 63%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.51 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sevilla and 2.33 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

Sevilla 0-2 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 34%, draw 23%, Real Madrid 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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