Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

Real Madrid
1-0 HT 0-0
Sevilla
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.52
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.85
X/1
20%
3.55
X/2
9%
18.65
X/X
8%
8.2
2/1
6%
21.1
2/2
5%
13.75
2/X
6%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.72
+22% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.0 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sevilla
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
558 Passes 392
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
27.05.2023 Sevilla Sevilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.10.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3-1 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
17.04.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 2-3 HT 2-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
28.11.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 1-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
09.05.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-2 HT 0-1 Sevilla Sevilla İS1

Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
1-0
AWAY Sevilla
0.99 xG 0.90
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
581 Passes 294
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Sevilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid nicked a narrow win over Sevilla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid had 64% of the ball to Sevilla's 36%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.99 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Real Madrid and 1.33 for Sevilla.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 62%, draw 20%, Sevilla 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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