Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.87
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.82
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
14%
5.85
X/2
12%
4.79
X/X
11%
3.44
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.64
2/X
10%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.21/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.56
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.2 Crosses 15.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.75 xG 1.04
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
210 Passes 473
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
28.05.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
02.09.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
12.02.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
17.09.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-2 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
18.04.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
2-2
AWAY Celta Vigo
2.25 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
413 Passes 165
76% Pass Accuracy 55%
23 Box Touches 15
42 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz and Celta Vigo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cadiz had 66% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 34%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cadiz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cadiz and 0.83 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Celta Vigo?

Cadiz 2-2 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 38%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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