Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.52
1/2
13%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.4
X/1
9%
4.92
X/2
9%
6.09
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.78
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.20/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+25% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.2 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osasuna
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
25.05.2019 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
12.01.2019 Las Palmas Las Palmas 4-1 HT 3-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS2
05.03.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 5-2 HT 1-2 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
01.10.2016 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
19.05.2015 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-2 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-1
AWAY Osasuna
0.68 xG 0.76
72% Ball Possession 28%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
586 Passes 155
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas and Osasuna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Las Palmas had 72% of the ball to Osasuna's 28%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.68 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Las Palmas and 1.50 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Osasuna?

Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 37%, draw 31%, Osasuna 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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