Real Sociedad vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Sociedad v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Girona
İS1
2-2
HT 2-2
Girona
İS1
3-5
HT 2-2
Real Sociedad
İS1
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Sociedad
İS1
Real Sociedad 3-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Real Sociedad edged past Girona 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Real Sociedad had 54% of the ball to Girona's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.00 to 2.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 1.00 for Girona.
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Girona?
Real Sociedad 3-2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 48%, draw 25%, Girona 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.