Girona 0-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

Girona
0-1 HT 0-1
Real Sociedad
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Girona vs Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
10%
5.22
X/X
11%
4.0
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.94
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Girona v Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.58/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.09
+50% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.9 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Girona vs Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
300 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Girona Girona 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
12.08.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
13.05.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-2 HT 2-2 Girona Girona İS1
02.10.2022 Girona Girona 3-5 HT 2-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
25.02.2019 Girona Girona 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
22.10.2018 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1

Girona 0-1 Real Sociedad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
0-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.39 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 443
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Girona vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad edged past Girona 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Real Sociedad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Girona had 47% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 53%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.39 to 1.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Sociedad's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Girona and 1.33 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Girona vs Real Sociedad?

Girona 0-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Girona 40%, draw 28%, Real Sociedad 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Girona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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