Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Oct 2024

Osasuna
1-2 HT 0-1
Real Betis
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Osasuna vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.77
X/2
11%
6.02
X/X
14%
3.95
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
10%
4.68
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · 1/X at 13.8 — our 12% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.4pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osasuna v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.25/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.28
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
23.2 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Osasuna vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
288 Passes 399
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 31
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
22.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
26.08.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
03.04.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 4-1 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1

Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
1-2
AWAY Real Betis
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
289 Passes 238
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis nicked a narrow win over Osasuna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Real Betis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 54% of the ball to Real Betis's 46%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osasuna and 2.17 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Betis?

Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 37%, draw 35%, Real Betis 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5
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