Osasuna 0-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.64
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
12%
14.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.99
X/2
11%
4.78
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.38
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.99 — our 21% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +26%
1.22/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.28
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
24.4 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Betis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.03 xG 2.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
290 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
22.04.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 3-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
18.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSPK
26.08.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
03.04.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 4-1 HT 2-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
23.09.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
0-2
AWAY Real Betis
0.77 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
264 Passes 444
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis saw off Osasuna 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Real Betis made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Osasuna had 41% of the ball to Real Betis's 59%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.77 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 2.33 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Real Betis?

Osasuna 0-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 38%, draw 29%, Real Betis 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osasuna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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