Sevilla 3-0 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
10%
9.48
X/X
8%
5.13
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
11%
7.53
2/X
10%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.69/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.66
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
29.0 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sevilla
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Granada
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
444 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Granada Granada 0-3 HT 0-2 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
08.04.2022 Sevilla Sevilla 4-2 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS1
03.10.2021 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.04.2021 Sevilla Sevilla 2-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS1
17.10.2020 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla Sevilla İS1
25.01.2020 Sevilla Sevilla 2-0 HT 2-0 Granada Granada İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla
3-0
AWAY Granada
1.66 xG 0.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
451 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sevilla vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla swept aside Granada 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sevilla as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sevilla had 60% of the ball to Granada's 40%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sevilla had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sevilla and 0.83 for Granada.

What was the final score of Sevilla vs Granada?

Sevilla 3-0 Granada in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sevilla 50%, draw 24%, Granada 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sevilla), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sevilla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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