Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valencia v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
2-0
Deportivo Alaves
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-2
HT 2-0
Valencia
İS1
Valencia 0-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Alaves nicked a narrow win over Valencia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Valencia had 57% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 43%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.97 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valencia and 1.00 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves?
Valencia 0-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valencia vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valencia 44%, draw 28%, Deportivo Alaves 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valencia) went the other way.