Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Almeria — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS1
3-1
HT 3-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
3-2
HT 3-0
Rayo Vallecano
İS2
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Almeria — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria edged past Rayo Vallecano 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Rayo Vallecano at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 68% of the ball to Almeria's 32%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.37 — on chances, Rayo Vallecano could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.17 for Almeria.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria?
Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Almeria in the Spain - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 53%, draw 24%, Almeria 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) went the other way.