Almeria vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
0-2
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
Almeria 2-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Almeria had 68% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 32%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.63 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 0.50 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Almeria 2-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Almeria 51%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.