Fiorentina U20 3-2 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 26%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.54/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.74
+39% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lecce U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 3-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
14.09.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 nicked a narrow win over Lecce U20 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lecce U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 2.50 for Lecce U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20?

Fiorentina U20 3-2 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 59%, draw 22%, Lecce U20 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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