Atlanta United 1-1 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Sep 2025

Atlanta United
1-1 HT 0-1
San Diego
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Atlanta United vs San Diego Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v San Diego — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.44/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.29
+9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 83%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.3 Crosses 8.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Atlanta United 1-1 San Diego — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
1-1
AWAY San Diego
2.21 xG 0.87
36% Ball Possession 64%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 639
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and San Diego couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Atlanta United had 36% of the ball to San Diego's 64%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.21 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs San Diego?

Atlanta United 1-1 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 36%, draw 27%, San Diego 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
20 Sep 2025
19:00 New York City FC vs Charlotte Analysis →
21:30 Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Analysis →