New York City FC 2-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.21
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.47
X/2
11%
9.03
X/X
12%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.45
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.88/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.55
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
462 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.6 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlotte
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
462 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
28.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
25.02.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
06.07.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
07.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-2 HT 2-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
10.09.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-0
AWAY Charlotte
2.47 xG 0.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
345 Passes 485
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC saw off Charlotte 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York City FC had 42% of the ball to Charlotte's 58%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 2.47 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New York City FC and 1.50 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Charlotte?

New York City FC 2-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 50%, draw 23%, Charlotte 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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