New York City FC 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
8%
8.11
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
8%
6.29
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.83/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.39
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.8 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlotte
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.26 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
449 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
06.07.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
07.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-2 HT 2-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
10.09.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
18.08.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
427 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC nicked a narrow win over Charlotte 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, New York City FC had 58% of the ball to Charlotte's 42%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for New York City FC and 1.80 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Charlotte?

New York City FC 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 50%, draw 24%, Charlotte 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC)
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