DC United 2-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
16%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.85
1/2
10%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
23%
4.78
X/2
9%
6.96
X/X
10%
4.87
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
12%
4.84
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.64/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.9 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 394
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2019 DC United DC United 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
10.06.2018 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
20.07.2017 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-3 HT 0-2 DC United DC United ABD
02.06.2016 DC United DC United 0-2 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
04.07.2015 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
29.06.2014 DC United DC United 0-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
2-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 205
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
POST-MATCH DC United vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United nicked a narrow win over Seattle Sounders 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, DC United had 57% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 43%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for DC United and 1.67 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of DC United vs Seattle Sounders?

DC United 2-1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split DC United 45%, draw 23%, Seattle Sounders 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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