New York Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
15%
3.92
X/2
10%
9.3
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
10%
7.4
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.8pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.53/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.54
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.6 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.80 xG 1.10
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 Passes 192
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2019 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
19.08.2018 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
08.10.2017 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
03.03.2017 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls CON
23.02.2017 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CON
04.09.2016 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
1-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
569 Passes 366
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Vancouver Whitecaps shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 59% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 41%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

New York Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 49%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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