Orlando City vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
4-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
4-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
2-3
HT 2-2
Orlando City
ABD
Orlando City 1-2 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orlando City at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Orlando City had 48% of the ball to Toronto FC's 52%, shots finished 8-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Orlando City and 0.50 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs Toronto FC?
Orlando City 1-2 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 56%, draw 22%, Toronto FC 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando City), BTTS No went the other way.