Orlando City vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orlando City v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orlando City 1-2 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 2-1 away from home. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Orlando City at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 51%.
On the day, Toronto FC saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 8-13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Orlando City against 0.50 for Toronto FC.
Orlando City vs Toronto FC Result & Final Score
Orlando City 1 - 2 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orlando City vs Toronto FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 68%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 13%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.