FC Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
19%
4.18
X/2
12%
9.22
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.85
2/2
7%
6.64
2/X
8%
14.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.65/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.77
-9% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
14.1 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
409 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
20.06.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-2 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
02.06.2019 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
2-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
505 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati edged past Colorado Rapids 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 59% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 41%, shots finished 25-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Colorado Rapids?

FC Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 49%, draw 26%, Colorado Rapids 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
28 Apr 2024
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Inter Miami Analysis →
02:30 New York City FC vs Charlotte Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →