Philadelphia Union 1-2 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Apr 2024

Philadelphia Union
1-2 HT 0-1
Real Salt Lake
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.4
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
7%
8.15
X/X
13%
5.49
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.74
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.72/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.59
+8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.2 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
283 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.07.2019 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 4-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
20.05.2018 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
28.05.2017 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-0 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.08.2016 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
15.03.2015 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-3 HT 1-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
12.04.2014 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD

Philadelphia Union 1-2 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
1-2
AWAY Real Salt Lake
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake edged past Philadelphia Union 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 50% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 50%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 2.17 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Philadelphia Union 1-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 48%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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