Charlotte 2-0 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒03:58 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 28% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.39
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
20%
5.59
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
11%
4.44
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.26
-23% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
19.1 Crosses 14.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
4W-1D-1L
AWAY New York City FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 445
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
25.02.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
06.07.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
07.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 3-2 HT 2-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
10.09.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
18.08.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-0
AWAY New York City FC
1.22 xG 1.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
324 Passes 551
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Box Touches 34
5 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte got the better of New York City FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Charlotte made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlotte had 39% of the ball to New York City FC's 61%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.22 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlotte and 1.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York City FC?

Charlotte 2-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 40%, draw 30%, New York City FC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5
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